A nonlinear deformation prediction model based on associated monitoring point data
LI Baiyi1,WANG Guilin1,2,YUAN Jun3
1. School of Civil Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400045, China;
2. National Joint Engineering Research Center of Geohazards Prevention in the Reservoir Areas, Chongqing 400045, China;
3. Chongqing Geology and Mineral Resources Exploration and Development Group Co., Ltd., Chongqing 401121, China
The deformation of foundation pit slope has the characteristics of non-stationarity and non-linearity. Currently, prediction models for foundation pit slope deformation usually use the data of a single monitoring point or overall monitoring points to predict, ignoring the correlation between different monitoring points. Three models, empirical mode decomposition-particle swarm optimization-back propagation neural network(EMD-PSO-BPNN) model, PSO-BPNN model, and BPNN model were built. Those models are based on single monitoring point data and related monitoring point data. Finally, a deep foundation pit slope in Chongqing was used to verify the correctness of those models. The following conclusions can be obtained. In the first place, The EMD model reduces the non-stationarity of the deformation data of the foundation pit slope, and makes the curve of each component smooth and stable, which improves the prediction accuracy. In the second place, the EMD-PSO-BPNN model has better ability of non-linear mapping, learning and self-adaptation. The prediction accuracy of the EMD-PSO-BPNN model is better than that of other models. In the last place, under the same model, the prediction accuracy of the prediction model based on correlation points is significantly higher than that of the prediction model based on single monitoring point.
李柏佚1,王桂林1, 2,袁军3. 基于关联监测点数据的非线性变形预测模型[J]. 振动与冲击, 2021, 40(8): 124-130.
LI Baiyi1,WANG Guilin1,2,YUAN Jun3. A nonlinear deformation prediction model based on associated monitoring point data. JOURNAL OF VIBRATION AND SHOCK, 2021, 40(8): 124-130.
[1]罗飞雪, 戴吾蛟. 小波分解与EMD在变形检测应用中的比较[J]. 大地测量与地球动力学,2010, 30(3) : 137-141.
LUO Feixue, DAI Wujiao. Comparison of wavelet decomposition and EMD in deformation detection applications[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics, 2010, 30(3) : 137-141.
[2]吴杰, 胡夏闽, 乔燕,等. 基于交叉证认的EMD小波滤波在大桥动态监测去噪中的应用[J]. 振动与冲击, 2017, 36(22):212-217.
WU Jie, HU Xiamin, QIAO Yan, et al. Application of EMD wavelet filtering based on cross-validation in dynamic monitoring and denoising of bridge [J]. Journal of Vibration and Shock, 2017, 36(22):212-217.
[3]邵东辉. 基于CEEMD低通的隧道爆破振动信号去噪[J]. 工程爆破, 2017, 23(6): 5-10.
SHAO Donghui. Denoising of tunnel blasting vibration signal based on CEEMD low pass[J]. Engineering Blasting,2017,23(6):5-10.
[4]谢世成,黄定川,张逸仙. 顾及点位关联的变形体空间多点预测模型效果分析[J].勘察科学技术, 2016(3):28-31.
XIE Shicheng, HUANG Dingchuan, ZHANG Yixian. Effect analysis of multi-point prediction model for deformed space considering point correlation[J]. Chinese Journal of Survey Science and Technology, 2016(3):28-31.
[5]周昀琦,王奉伟,周世健,等.顾及邻近点变形因素的高斯过程建模及预测[J].测绘科学,2018,43(4):114-121.
ZHOU Yunqi, WANG Fengwei, ZHOU Shijian, et al. Modeling and prediction of gaussian process with adjacent deformation factors [J]. Science of Surveying and Mapping, 2008,43(4):114-121.
[6]HUANG N E , SHEN Z , LONG S R , et al. The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis[J]. Proceedings A, 1998, 454(1971):903-995.
[7]SHEN S S P , SHU T , HUANG N E , et al. HHT analysis of the nonlinear and non-stationnary annual cycle of daily surface air temperature data[M]// 2nd ed. Hilbert-Huang Transform and its Applications. Hackensack :World Science Publishing ,2005.
[8]KENNEDY J. Particle swarm optimization[C]//Proceedings of 1995 IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks.Perth: IEEE, 2011.
[9]YUTTHAPONG T, KURUTACH W. Comparing nonlinear inertia weights and constriction factors in particle swarm optimization[J]. International Journal of Knowledge-based and Intelligent Engineering Systems, 2011, 15(2):65-70.
[10]SHA F , ZHU F , GUO S N , et al. Based on the EMD and PSO-BP neural network of short-term load forecasting[J]. Advanced Materials Research, 2012, 614/615:1872-1875.
[11]金盛杰, 包腾飞, 陈迪辉. 基于EMD分解法的大坝变形预测模型及应用[J]. 水利水电技术, 2017, 48(62): 41-44.
JIN Shengjie, BAO Tengfei, CHEN Dihui. Dam deformation prediction model based on EMD decomposition method and its application [J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 2017, 48(62): 41-44.
[12]李思慧, 刘海卿. 基于LMD-PSO-LSSVM组合模型的深基坑变形预测[J]. 地下空间与工程学报, 2018, 14(2): 483-489.
LI Sihui, LIU Haiqing. Deformation prediction of deep foundation pit based on LMD-PSO-LSSVM combined model[J]. Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering, 2018, 14(2): 483-489.
[13]刘吉超,陈阳舟.基于GA-PSO混合优化的BPNN车速预测方法[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2017,17(6):40-47.
LIU Jichao, CHEN Yangzhou. BPNN speed prediction method based on GA-PSO hybrid optimization [J]. Transportation Systems Engineering and Information,2017,17(6): 40-47.
[14]郭彩杏,郭晓金,柏林江.改进遗传模拟退火算法优化BP算法研究[J].小型微型计算机系统,2019,40(10):2063-2067.
GUO Caixing, GUO Xiaojin, BAI Linjiang. Study on BP algorithm optimization based on modified genetic simulated annealing algorithm [J]. Miniature Microcomputer Systems, 2019, 40(10): 2063-2067.
[15]PANKRATZ A. Forecasting with univariate Box-Jenkins models: concepts and cases[M]. Hoboken: Wiley, 2008.