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A Bayesian statistical inference-based flutter boundary prediction method under turbulence excitation |
WANG Ruochan1, YAN Gang1, LI Yang2, SHI Yuan1, ZHOU Daheng1 |
1.State Key Laboratory of Mechanics and Control of Mechanical Structures, College of Aerospace Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China;
2.College of Aerospace Engineering, Nanjing Vocational University of Industry Technology, Nanjing 210023, China |
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Abstract This paper proposes to extend Bayesian statistical inference method to flutter analysis for aircraft structures under excitation of atmospheric turbulence to consider the uncertainties in modal parameter identification and flutter boundary prediction. After the free decay responses are extracted from the structural responses under the excitation of atmospheric turbulence by natural excitation technique (NExT), based on Bayesian statistical inference, the posterior probability density functions of structural modal parameters are sampled and identified by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Then the probability density distribution for flutter velocity is obtained by Z-W flutter margin method to predict the flutter boundary and analyze the associated uncertainties. Numerical simulation studies are carried out to analyze the structural response data excited by atmospheric turbulence, and the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified.
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Received: 25 May 2022
Published: 28 June 2023
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