土木工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本进展研究

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振动与冲击 ›› 2015, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (17) : 111-119.

论文

朱健 1 ，谭平 2，周福霖 2

作者信息 +

A Review of Life-Cycle Seismic Loss Estimation in Civil Engineering

Zhu Jian 1 Tan Ping 2 Zhou Fulin 2

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

近年来在西太平洋地区发生的一系列重大自然灾害如地震、飓风等给人类社会敲响了警钟，为了应对重大自然灾害的不利影响，世界各国政府都在研究或已经出台了防灾减灾保险法律如地震保险法加以应对，这应该说是防灾减灾研究的一个必然的趋势。而完善的地震保险政策的出台必须建立在工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本研究的基础上。由于我国目前工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本研究等基础应用研究的缺乏导致我国巨灾保险政策迟迟难以推出，基于此本文总结和回顾了工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本研究的理论内涵和研究现状，分析了以往工程结构地震易损性研究和全寿命期地震损失成本研究所面临的理论缺陷和应用局限，重点阐述了基于组合的地震易损性研究的理论优势、具体实施步骤和关键技术特点，最后展望了基于此建立我国工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本研究框架体系的重大意义。

Abstract

Earthquake, hurricane and tsunami are main natural risks in front of human society. Recently a series of large natural disasters occurred in West of Pacific Area have alarmed us. For minimize the negative impact on human society, Countries in the world now are all introduce or have published disasters insurance policies to follow the tendency which is a best way to minimize seismic or hurricane loss. Now human in China very eager to demand the insurance laws to protect their properties, but unfortunately government have not a practical natural disaster insurances policy be operated because of fundamental life cycle seismic cost research (LLSC) lacking in China. So LLSC theory is reviewed and important meaning of LLSC also be prospected for China society. Theory defects and obstacle in practical application are shown when we use previous seismic vulnerability research method and LLSC theory. An innovative seismic vulnerability based assembly research is proposed. The theory benefit, technical characters and particular steps including damage analysis and loss assessment in life-cycle are also explicated in detail. There will act on a key role in serving for prevention disaster and disperse risk for China’s economy and society in the future.

导出引用

朱健 1,谭平 2，周福霖 2. 土木工程结构全寿命期地震损失成本进展研究[J]. 振动与冲击, 2015, 34(17): 111-119

Zhu Jian 1 Tan Ping 2 Zhou Fulin 2. A Review of Life-Cycle Seismic Loss Estimation in Civil Engineering[J]. Journal of Vibration and Shock, 2015, 34(17): 111-119

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