Extreme wind speed estimation of mixed climate combined with typhoon full path simulation

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Journal of Vibration and Shock ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (23) : 84-89.

LI Qiang1, MAO Jianghong1, HUANG Mingfeng2

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Abstract

In order to reasonably determine the wind-resistant design wind speed in mixed climate area, an extreme wind speed estimation method in mixed climate area based on typhoon full pathsimulation was proposed.Based on the best-path dataset of CMA-STI tropical cyclones, a typhoon full-path model suitable for northwest Pacific Ocean area was established by using Vickery empirical regression model.The model parameters were modified for local area of northwest Pacific Ocean to generate 100 000-year random samples of typhoon track and intensity in line with characteristics of historical samples.The wind field was simulated with Yan Meng model, and based on statistical analysis of extreme value, extreme wind speeds of typhoon in return period of 10 cities along southeast coast of China were determined.Combined with the measured data of good wind near ground in Hangzhou area, extreme wind speedsin mixed climate return period of Hangzhou area were estimated.Results showed that effects of different climate models should be considered in the design wind speed estimation of mixed climate regions; using the proposed method, a conservative estimation of extreme wind speed of mixed climate can be given.

Key words

extreme wind speed / mixedclimate / typhoon / full path simulation / wind field model

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LI Qiang1, MAO Jianghong1, HUANG Mingfeng2. Extreme wind speed estimation of mixed climate combined with typhoon full path simulation[J]. Journal of Vibration and Shock, 2020, 39(23): 84-89

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